Journal of Engineering Research

In order to further reduce the probability of risk events during the operation of virtual power plants, this article uses Bayesian cloud model as the basis to study and analyze the comprehensive evaluation of operational risks in virtual power plants. On the basis of a simple analysis of the comprehensive evaluation and management principles of operational risks in virtual power plants, this paper explores the evaluation index system of operational risks in virtual power plants. Based on the Bayesian cloud model, a relatively complete evaluation system and related models are formed. Finally, through analysis, it is found that operational risks, economic risks, safety risks, and management risks always exist during the operation of virtual power plants, and the probability and impact of operational and economic risks are relatively high. Risk factors need to be dealt with in a timely manner according to actual external environmental changes.

Virtual power plant; Bayesian cloud model; Operational risk assessment