Scientific Development Research

Against the backdrop of intensifying climate change, river basins face challenges including fluctuating water supply-demand dynamics, frequent extreme events, and increasing ecological pressures. To address these issues, this study proposes an adaptive management model that systematically analyzes hydrological characteristics, climatic factors, and human activities to establish a decision support framework for dynamic regulation and optimized allocation of water resources. The model integrates prediction, scheduling, and risk assessment functions, providing scientific foundations for basin management and enhancing water resource resilience against uncertainties.

Climate change; Watershed management; Water resources optimization; Adaptive models; Decision support