Sustainable Improvement of Road Safety in Russian Cities: General Trends and the Dialectical Contradictions in the Structure of Risks of Fatalities in Road Traffic Accidents

Sustainable Improvement of Road Safety in Russian Cities: General Trends and the Dialectical Contradictions in the Structure of Risks of Fatalities in Road Traffic Accidents

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DOI 10.20900/jsr.20240042
刊名
JSR
年,卷(期) 2024, 6(3)
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The Institute of Transport, Industrial University of Tyumen, Tyumen 625000, Russia

Abstract
The purpose of this article is to present new empirical data on the trends in improvement of road safety in Russian cities and to structure the nature of risks of fatalities in road traffic accidents. This study examined both the general trends in risks of fatal traffic accidents and the dynamics over time (2015–2023) of the structure of such risks. The research was conducted for four groups of Russian cities, differentiated by population size. The final conclusion of the study is the statement of a steady, progressive reduction in risks of fatalities in road traffic accidents from 2015 to 2023 that is common to all classification groups of Russian cities. A crucial aspect of the research was the study of the structural specifics of risks of fatalities in road traffic accidents for residents of Russian cities and the dynamics of these specifics over time. The analysis made it possible to establish a precise definition of the concept of Road Safety Risk and differentiate this concept into three components—the probability of an accident, the scale of an accident and the severity of the consequences of an accident. The scale and severity ofanaccident together is identical to “the totality of the consequences of an accident”. As part of the research, specific structural features of the risk of roadaccidents were established for Russian cities with different populations; patterns of statistical relationship between the probability of road accidents and the totality of their consequences were established; the risk of death in road accidents for residents of Russian cities was assessed. Based on the research results, a conclusion was made about various mechanisms for the formation of road accidents in different types of cities. The most important result of the study was the establishment of a dialectical contradiction between the probability of an accident and the totality of the consequences of an accident. In general, the research results can be the basis for constructing a multidimensional classification of cities according to the degree of Road Safety Risk and recommendations for reducing therisk of death in road accidents.
KeyWord
road safety (RS); sustainable improvement; road traffic accident (RTA); road safety risk (RSR); the risk of death in a RTA; the probability of a RTA; the totality of the consequences of a RTA; the dialectical inconsistency of risks; human factor
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Artur I. Petrov*,Evgeniia V. Likhajrova. Sustainable Improvement of Road Safety in Russian Cities: General Trends and the Dialectical Contradictions in the Structure of Risks of Fatalities in Road Traffic Accidents, Journal of Sustainability Research. 2024; 6; (3). https://doi.org/10.20900/jsr.20240042.

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